Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.037650 0.040717 0.043939 0.047582 0.051592 0.055877 0.060813
2025-02-23 0.032818 0.037162 0.041984 0.047755 0.054498 0.062163 0.071581
2025-03-02 0.029550 0.034629 0.040504 0.047845 0.056834 0.067560 0.081443
2025-03-09 0.026751 0.032205 0.038722 0.047153 0.057875 0.071191 0.089194
2025-03-16 0.024410 0.030049 0.036973 0.046196 0.058307 0.073876 0.095740
2025-03-23 0.022686 0.028480 0.035767 0.045732 0.059200 0.077064 0.103047
2025-03-30 0.021227 0.027118 0.034686 0.045280 0.059981 0.080048 0.110195
2025-04-06 0.019780 0.025657 0.033352 0.044348 0.059968 0.081845 0.115693
2025-04-13 0.019018 0.025051 0.033099 0.044846 0.061937 0.086519 0.125734
2025-04-20 0.018163 0.024254 0.032522 0.044820 0.063108 0.090059 0.134294
2025-04-27 0.017585 0.023802 0.032382 0.045389 0.065156 0.095011 0.145443
2025-05-04 0.016806 0.023018 0.031718 0.045128 0.065905 0.097982 0.153594
2025-05-11 0.016103 0.022314 0.031139 0.044970 0.066815 0.101295 0.162670
2025-05-18 0.015397 0.021567 0.030455 0.044603 0.067361 0.104044 0.171011
2025-05-25 0.014834 0.021002 0.030008 0.044566 0.068415 0.107676 0.181211
2025-06-01 0.014153 0.020226 0.029199 0.043904 0.068385 0.109454 0.188171
2025-06-08 0.013465 0.019410 0.028287 0.043018 0.067914 0.110417 0.193661
2025-06-15 0.012936 0.018810 0.027680 0.042591 0.068180 0.112668 0.201786
2025-06-22 0.012444 0.018247 0.027103 0.042176 0.068432 0.114891 0.210034
2025-06-29 0.011885 0.017555 0.026290 0.041319 0.067847 0.115531 0.215132
2025-07-06 0.011647 0.017358 0.026257 0.041777 0.069621 0.120659 0.229934
2025-07-13 0.011320 0.017006 0.025956 0.041753 0.070514 0.124168 0.241662
2025-07-20 0.011122 0.016852 0.025971 0.042276 0.072436 0.129796 0.258549